Prudential indicators – Vale of White Horse DC

1 Affordability

1.1 Ratio of financing costs to net revenue stream 

These indicators compare the financing costs payable less investment income receivable to the overall net revenue spending of the council. Because the council has a high level of investment income and no long-term borrowing this indicator is negative and remains so throughout the period. 

Indicator A-1

2023/24

2024/25

2025/26

2026/27

2027/28

Ratio of financing costs to net revenue stream

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

Non – HRA

(15.5%)

(12.7%)

(8.0%)

 (4.2%)

(2.5%)

 

1.2 Net income from commercial investments to net revenue stream

 

This indicator estimates the proportion of its commercial investment income to its net revenue stream, as an indicator of the Council’s exposure to risk in relation to the potential loss of commercial investment income.

 

Indicator A-2

2023/24

2024/25

2025/26

2026/27

2027/28

Ratio of net income from commercial investments to net revenue stream

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

Non – HRA

1.8%

0.5%

0.5%

0.5%

0.5%

 

2 Prudence

2.1 Gross debt and the capital financing requirement

It is prudent to ensure that borrowing is only used to fund capital (as opposed to revenue) expenditure. The indicator to measure whether this is achieved is to demonstrate that external borrowing does not, except in the short term, exceed the total of capital financing requirement in the preceding year plus the estimates of any additional capital financing requirement for the current and next two financial years.

Indicator P-1

2021/22

2022/23

2023/24

2024/25

 

2025/26

 

actual

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

 

£m

£m

£m

£m

£m

Capital financing requirement

0

0      

0

3

7.5

Gross borrowing

0

0

0

3

4.5

 

In this instance the capital financing requirement is shown as zero in 2022/23 and 2023/24 but increases as borrowing begins to be undertaken in future years.  The head of finance reports that the authority had no difficulty meeting this requirement in 2021/22.

The proposed 23/24 capital programme includes £10 million debt financing for capital projects. The forecast capital financing requirement for 2025/26 is £7.5 million.

2.2 Capital expenditure

 

The first indicator shows the total capital expenditure plans of the council’s existing programme including the capital growth proposals put forward.

 

 

2022/23

2023/24

2024/25

2025/25

2026/27

2027/28

Indicator P-2

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

 

£000

£000

£000

£000

£000

£000

Estimates of capital expenditure

16,812

16,044

5,256

5,310

 

4,791

2,141

 

 

The second indicator records actual capital expenditure for the previous financial year.

 

 

2021/22

2021/22

Indicator P-3

estimate

actual

 

£000

£000

Actual capital expenditure

17,388

4,575

 

2.3 Borrowing need

This indicator reflects the authority’s underlying need to borrow for a capital purpose, its Capital Financing Requirement (CFR). This borrowing may not need to take place externally, and the council may judge it prudent to make use of cash that it has already invested for long term purposes.

 

31/3/2023

31/3/2024

31/3/2025

31/3/2026

31/3/2027

31/03/2028

Indicator P-4

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

estimate

 

£000

£000

£000

£000

£000

£000

Estimate of capital financing requirement

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Non-HRA

0

0

3,000

7,500

10,000

10,000

Estimate of movement in year

 

 

 

 

 

 

    Non-HRA

0

0

3,000

4,500

2,500

0

 

The capital financing requirement as at 31 March each year is derived from specific balances within the balance sheet, and adjustments are made for capital expenditure, and the resources applied to finance the expenditure. The authority’s capital expenditure is resourced immediately from capital receipts, reserves, grants, contributions and borrowing.  The CFR is forecast to remain zero until 2024/25.  The actual CFR for 31 March 2022 is shown below.

 

31/3/2022

Indicator P-5

actual

 

£000

Actual capital financing requirement

 

    Non-HRA

0

Actual movement in year

 

    Non-HRA

0